Italy SuperLega – Round 19

14/02/2024

MILANO-MONZA
Milano-Monza will definitely be an engaging match. Our analysis initially focused on Milan, believing they had a slight edge to win the Lombardy derby. Currently, Monza and Milan are only three points apart, and the two teams have similar technical abilities. We would have relied on the home advantage, but absences in the home team (Piano and Katzysky) have complicated things. Nonetheless, we still anticipate an exciting match, but due to uncertainties regarding team line-ups, our recommendation is to go for Over.


CISTERNA-PERUGIA
Cisterna-Perugia is one of those matches where we feel quite confident.
The visitors, eight points behind the top spot and with the last two games lost (one of which was at home), are tasked with reversing their recent poor form, having rarely suffered two consecutive defeats. We are convinced that Perugia will achieve this. For us, it could be 0-3 or 1-3.

MODENA-TARANTO
Modena, still worryingly at 22 points and firmly in the relegation zone, hosts Taranto in what will be a crucial survival match.
Compared to Modena's ambitions at the beginning of the season, no one would have expected them to be so low in the standings. Continual controversies, changes in direction, and missteps have contributed to a less-than-ideal atmosphere among the yellow-blue ranks.
However, we believe that Modena, with a roster of high experience and quality, will have no trouble securing the three points against a presumably more approachable opponent.

ACICASTELLO-PADOVA
Aci Castello hasn't won a match since October 29th of last year. With 17 losses and only one victory for the Sicilians, who are now just five points away from the abyss of relegation. Padova, on the other hand, also in the "red zone," has won two of their last five matches (including a win against Milan after two hours of thrilling volleyball). Therefore, we believe that the match will be tilted in favor of the visitors, who are currently more motivated to secure three crucial points. We expect a challenging match, likely long, where Acicastello might win at least one set and rarely surrender in front of their home crowd. It's not an easy match, but we predict Padova to win.

TRENTO-LUBE
Trento-Lube certainly represents the highlight match of the day.
The hosts, firmly at the top of the table practically since the first day, will be aiming for their 18th victory in 19 matches, which would be a record-breaking achievement.
However, the opponent will not be easy. On the other side of the net come the Marchigiani of Lube, in fourth place and in one of their best mental and physical states. With 4 wins out of 4 for the Lube school's "rossoneri" and the desire to overtake Piacenza, who are now only one point ahead. We certainly anticipate a high-quality, long match.
For us, matches like these are typically Over games. We personally see Trento's powerhouse slightly favored, so a base Over, with Trento as the winner for the more daring.

VERONA-PIACENZA
Verona vs. Piacenza is perhaps the match that posed the most analysis difficulties for us. We initially leaned towards Piacenza, given their highly technical and experienced roster. However, upon closer examination of Verona's journey, we couldn't ignore the excellent form of the home team, with 9 wins in their last 10 matches, including victories against strong opponents like Lube, Milan, Monza, and even Perugia.
Currently, we believe Verona is one of the most in-form teams and physically stronger than others, and this, along with the aforementioned factors, prevented us from simply recommending Piacenza as the winner and led us to opt for an Over bet.