Medvedev D. - Mannarino A.

ATP - Wimbledon, London, Great Britan, Round of 64

Daniil Medvedev has a less favorable head-to-head record with a few players, and he will be facing one of them in the second round of Wimbledon: Adrian Mannarino. The Frenchman holds a 4-2 advantage in their previous meetings, with 3 of those victories coming exclusively on grass. Grass has historically been a challenging surface for Medvedev, although he has been making improvements on it. However, Mannarino possesses excellent technique and a diverse range of shots. He will likely force Medvedev into numerous running exchanges, which could pose a difficult scenario for the Russian player.

Medvedev excels when he can wait on the baseline and hit the ball with intensity from that position. However, he tends to struggle when he is on the move, as it affects his accuracy. Mannarino has proven his ability to defeat Medvedev before, notably in their five-set encounter at Wimbledon in 2018, as well as their recent upset in three sets at 's-Hertogenbosch just 20 days ago. Given these factors, it is uncertain why the odds heavily favor Medvedev at 1.20 for victory.

There is potential value in considering the over 35.5 games, as it is likely that this match could go to at least four sets. However, I would lean towards the handicap in favor of the Frenchman. Mannarino boasts an excellent career record on grass (89-58), while Medvedev's record stands at 46-21, indicating a potentially competitive match.